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update README

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Dong Zhou
2021-07-28 14:29:24 +08:00
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@@ -25,6 +25,7 @@ The numbers shown below demonstrate the performance of the entire `workflow` of
| TCTS (Xueqing Wu, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0485±0.00 | 0.3689±0.04| 0.0586±0.00 | 0.4669±0.02 | 0.0816±0.02 | 1.1572±0.30| -0.0689±0.02 | | TCTS (Xueqing Wu, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0485±0.00 | 0.3689±0.04| 0.0586±0.00 | 0.4669±0.02 | 0.0816±0.02 | 1.1572±0.30| -0.0689±0.02 |
| Transformer (Ashish Vaswani, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0141±0.00 | 0.0917±0.02| 0.0331±0.00 | 0.2357±0.03 | -0.0259±0.03 | -0.3323±0.43| -0.1763±0.07 | | Transformer (Ashish Vaswani, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0141±0.00 | 0.0917±0.02| 0.0331±0.00 | 0.2357±0.03 | -0.0259±0.03 | -0.3323±0.43| -0.1763±0.07 |
| Localformer (Juyong Jiang, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0408±0.00 | 0.2988±0.03| 0.0538±0.00 | 0.4105±0.02 | 0.0275±0.03 | 0.3464±0.37| -0.1182±0.03 | | Localformer (Juyong Jiang, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0408±0.00 | 0.2988±0.03| 0.0538±0.00 | 0.4105±0.02 | 0.0275±0.03 | 0.3464±0.37| -0.1182±0.03 |
| TRA (Hengxu Lin, et al.)| Alpha360 | 0.0500±0.00 | 0.3966±0.04 | 0.0594±0.00 | 0.4856±0.03 | 0.1000±0.02 | 1.3425±0.31 | -0.0845±0.02 |
## Alpha158 dataset ## Alpha158 dataset
| Model Name | Dataset | IC | ICIR | Rank IC | Rank ICIR | Annualized Return | Information Ratio | Max Drawdown | | Model Name | Dataset | IC | ICIR | Rank IC | Rank ICIR | Annualized Return | Information Ratio | Max Drawdown |
@@ -43,6 +44,8 @@ The numbers shown below demonstrate the performance of the entire `workflow` of
| TabNet (Sercan O. Arik, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0383±0.00 | 0.3414±0.00| 0.0388±0.00 | 0.3460±0.00 | 0.0226±0.00 | 0.2652±0.00| -0.1072±0.00 | | TabNet (Sercan O. Arik, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0383±0.00 | 0.3414±0.00| 0.0388±0.00 | 0.3460±0.00 | 0.0226±0.00 | 0.2652±0.00| -0.1072±0.00 |
| Transformer (Ashish Vaswani, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0274±0.00 | 0.2166±0.04| 0.0409±0.00 | 0.3342±0.04 | 0.0204±0.03 | 0.2888±0.40| -0.1216±0.04 | | Transformer (Ashish Vaswani, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0274±0.00 | 0.2166±0.04| 0.0409±0.00 | 0.3342±0.04 | 0.0204±0.03 | 0.2888±0.40| -0.1216±0.04 |
| Localformer (Juyong Jiang, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0355±0.00 | 0.2747±0.04| 0.0466±0.00 | 0.3762±0.03 | 0.0506±0.02 | 0.7447±0.34| -0.0875±0.02 | | Localformer (Juyong Jiang, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0355±0.00 | 0.2747±0.04| 0.0466±0.00 | 0.3762±0.03 | 0.0506±0.02 | 0.7447±0.34| -0.0875±0.02 |
| TRA (Hengxu Lin, et al.)| Alpha158 (with selected 20 features) | 0.0440±0.00 | 0.3592±0.03 | 0.0500±0.00 | 0.4256±0.02 | 0.0747±0.03 | 1.1281±0.49 | -0.0813±0.03 |
| TRA (Hengxu Lin, et al.)| Alpha158 | 0.0474±0.00 | 0.3653±0.03 | 0.0573±0.00 | 0.4494±0.02 | 0.0770±0.02 | 1.1342±0.38 | -0.0852±0.03 |
- The selected 20 features are based on the feature importance of a lightgbm-based model. - The selected 20 features are based on the feature importance of a lightgbm-based model.
- The base model of DoubleEnsemble is LGBM. - The base model of DoubleEnsemble is LGBM.

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# Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport # Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport
This code provides a PyTorch implementation for TRA (Temporal Routing Adaptor), as described in the paper [Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport](http://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12950). Temporal Routing Adaptor (TRA) is designed to capture multiple trading patterns in the stock market data. Please refer to [our paper](http://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12950) for more details.
* TRA (Temporal Routing Adaptor) is a lightweight module that consists of a set of independent predictors for learning multiple patterns as well as a router to dispatch samples to different predictors. If you find our work useful in your research, please cite:
* We also design a learning algorithm based on Optimal Transport (OT) to obtain the optimal sample to predictor assignment and effectively optimize the router with such assignment through an auxiliary loss term. ```
@inproceedings{HengxuKDD2021,
author = {Hengxu Lin and Dong Zhou and Weiqing Liu and Jiang Bian},
title = {Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery \& Data Mining},
series = {KDD '21},
year = {2021},
publisher = {ACM},
}
@article{yang2020qlib,
title={Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platform},
author={Yang, Xiao and Liu, Weiqing and Zhou, Dong and Bian, Jiang and Liu, Tie-Yan},
journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.11189},
year={2020}
}
```
# Running TRA ## Usage (Recommended)
## Requirements **Update**: `TRA` has been moved to `qlib.contrib.model.pytorch_tra` to support other `Qlib` components like `qlib.workflow` and `Alpha158/Alpha360` dataset.
- Install `Qlib` main branch
## Running Please follow the official [doc](https://qlib.readthedocs.io/en/latest/component/workflow.html) to use `TRA` with `workflow`. Here we also provide several example config files:
- `workflow_config_tra_Alpha360.yaml`: running `TRA` with `Alpha360` dataset
- `workflow_config_tra_Alpha158.yaml`: running `TRA` with `Alpha158` dataset (with feature subsampling)
- `workflow_config_tra_Alpha158_full.yaml`: running `TRA` with `Alpha158` dataset (without feature subsampling)
The performances of `TRA` are reported in [Benchmarks](https://github.com/microsoft/qlib/tree/main/examples/benchmarks).
## Usage (Not Maintained)
This section is used to reproduce the results in the paper.
### Running
We attach our running scripts for the paper in `run.sh`. We attach our running scripts for the paper in `run.sh`.
And here are two ways to run the model: And here are two ways to run the model:
* Running from scripts with default parameters * Running from scripts with default parameters
You can directly run from Qlib command `qrun`:
``` You can directly run from Qlib command `qrun`:
qrun configs/config_alstm.yaml ```
``` qrun configs/config_alstm.yaml
```
* Running from code with self-defined parameters * Running from code with self-defined parameters
Setting different parameters is also allowed. See codes in `example.py`:
``` Setting different parameters is also allowed. See codes in `example.py`:
python example.py --config_file configs/config_alstm.yaml ```
``` python example.py --config_file configs/config_alstm.yaml
```
Here we trained TRA on a pretrained backbone model. Therefore we run `*_init.yaml` before TRA's scipts. Here we trained TRA on a pretrained backbone model. Therefore we run `*_init.yaml` before TRA's scipts.
# Results ### Results
## Outputs
After running the scripts, you can find result files in path `./output`: After running the scripts, you can find result files in path `./output`:
`info.json` - config settings and result metrics. * `info.json` - config settings and result metrics.
* `log.csv` - running logs.
* `model.bin` - the model parameter dictionary.
* `pred.pkl` - the prediction scores and output for inference.
`log.csv` - running logs. Evaluation metrics reported in the paper:
`model.bin` - the model parameter dictionary.
`pred.pkl` - the prediction scores and output for inference.
## Our Results
| Methods | MSE| MAE| IC | ICIR | AR | AV | SR | MDD | | Methods | MSE| MAE| IC | ICIR | AR | AV | SR | MDD |
|-------------------|-------------------|---------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------|--------------------| |-------|-------|------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|
|Linear|0.163|0.327|0.020|0.132|-3.2%|16.8%|-0.191|32.1%| |Linear|0.163|0.327|0.020|0.132|-3.2%|16.8%|-0.191|32.1%|
|LightGBM|0.160(0.000)|0.323(0.000)|0.041|0.292|7.8%|15.5%|0.503|25.7%| |LightGBM|0.160(0.000)|0.323(0.000)|0.041|0.292|7.8%|15.5%|0.503|25.7%|
|MLP|0.160(0.002)|0.323(0.003)|0.037|0.273|3.7%|15.3%|0.264|26.2%| |MLP|0.160(0.002)|0.323(0.003)|0.037|0.273|3.7%|15.3%|0.264|26.2%|
@@ -61,21 +85,8 @@ After running the scripts, you can find result files in path `./output`:
A more detailed demo for our experiment results in the paper can be found in `Report.ipynb`. A more detailed demo for our experiment results in the paper can be found in `Report.ipynb`.
# Common Issues ## Common Issues
For help or issues using TRA, please submit a GitHub issue. For help or issues using TRA, please submit a GitHub issue.
Sometimes we might encounter situation where the loss is `NaN`, please check the `epsilon` parameter in the sinkhorn algorithm, adjusting the `epsilon` according to input's scale is important. Sometimes we might encounter situation where the loss is `NaN`, please check the `epsilon` parameter in the sinkhorn algorithm, adjusting the `epsilon` according to input's scale is important.
# Citation
If you find this repository useful in your research, please cite:
```
@inproceedings{HengxuKDD2021,
author = {Hengxu Lin and Dong Zhou and Weiqing Liu and Jiang Bian},
title = {Learning Multiple Stock Trading Patterns with Temporal Routing Adaptor and Optimal Transport},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery \& Data Mining},
series = {KDD '21},
year = {2021},
publisher = {ACM},
}
```

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@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ task:
early_stop: 10 early_stop: 10
smooth_steps: 5 smooth_steps: 5
seed: 0 seed: 0
logdir: output/Alpha158/router logdir:
lamb: 1.0 lamb: 1.0
rho: 1.0 rho: 1.0
transport_method: router transport_method: router

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@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ task:
early_stop: 10 early_stop: 10
smooth_steps: 5 smooth_steps: 5
seed: 0 seed: 0
logdir: output/Alpha158_full/router logdir:
lamb: 1.0 lamb: 1.0
rho: 1.0 rho: 1.0
transport_method: router transport_method: router

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@@ -73,7 +73,7 @@ task:
max_steps_per_epoch: 100 max_steps_per_epoch: 100
early_stop: 10 early_stop: 10
smooth_steps: 5 smooth_steps: 5
logdir: output/Alpha360/router logdir:
seed: 0 seed: 0
lamb: 1.0 lamb: 1.0
rho: 1.0 rho: 1.0