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Refine DDG-DA (#1472)
* Run ddg-da successfully * Support include valid; More parameters * Support L2 reg & visualization * Blackformat * Enable fill_method * Support specify handler & optim dataset * Fix Pylint
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@@ -10,8 +10,10 @@ import pandas as pd
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import fire
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import sys
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import pickle
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from typing import Optional
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from qlib import auto_init
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from qlib.model.trainer import TrainerR
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from qlib.typehint import Literal
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from qlib.utils import init_instance_by_config
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from qlib.workflow import R
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from qlib.tests.data import GetData
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@@ -30,7 +32,33 @@ class DDGDA:
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- `rm -r mlruns`
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"""
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def __init__(self, sim_task_model="linear", forecast_model="linear"):
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def __init__(
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self,
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sim_task_model: Literal["linear", "gbdt"] = "linear",
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forecast_model: Literal["linear", "gbdt"] = "linear",
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h_path: Optional[str] = None,
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test_end: Optional[str] = None,
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train_start: Optional[str] = None,
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meta_1st_train_end: Optional[str] = None,
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task_ext_conf: Optional[dict] = None,
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alpha: float = 0.0,
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proxy_hd: str = "handler_proxy.pkl",
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):
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"""
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Parameters
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----------
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train_start: Optional[str]
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the start datetime for data. It is used in training start time (for both tasks & meta learing)
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test_end: Optional[str]
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the end datetime for data. It is used in test end time
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meta_1st_train_end: Optional[str]
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the datetime of training end of the first meta_task
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alpha: float
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Setting the L2 regularization for ridge
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The `alpha` is only passed to MetaModelDS (it is not passed to sim_task_model currently..)
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"""
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self.step = 20
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# NOTE:
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# the horizon must match the meaning in the base task template
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@@ -38,10 +66,19 @@ class DDGDA:
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self.meta_exp_name = "DDG-DA"
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self.sim_task_model = sim_task_model # The model to capture the distribution of data.
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self.forecast_model = forecast_model # downstream forecasting models' type
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self.rb_kwargs = {
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"h_path": h_path,
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"test_end": test_end,
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"train_start": train_start,
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"task_ext_conf": task_ext_conf,
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}
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self.alpha = alpha
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self.meta_1st_train_end = meta_1st_train_end
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self.proxy_hd = proxy_hd
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def get_feature_importance(self):
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# this must be lightGBM, because it needs to get the feature importance
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type="gbdt")
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type="gbdt", **self.rb_kwargs)
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task = rb.basic_task()
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with R.start(experiment_name="feature_importance"):
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@@ -69,7 +106,7 @@ class DDGDA:
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fi = self.get_feature_importance()
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col_selected = fi.nlargest(topk)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model, **self.rb_kwargs)
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task = rb.basic_task()
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dataset = init_instance_by_config(task["dataset"])
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prep_ds = dataset.prepare(slice(None), col_set=["feature", "label"], data_key=DataHandlerLP.DK_L)
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@@ -96,7 +133,7 @@ class DDGDA:
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"kwargs": {"config": DIRNAME / "fea_label_df.pkl"},
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}
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)
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handler.to_pickle(DIRNAME / "handler_proxy.pkl", dump_all=True)
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handler.to_pickle(DIRNAME / self.proxy_hd, dump_all=True)
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@property
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def _internal_data_path(self):
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@@ -108,7 +145,7 @@ class DDGDA:
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This function will dump the input data for meta model
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"""
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# According to the experiments, the choice of the model type is very important for achieving good results
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model, **self.rb_kwargs)
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sim_task = rb.basic_task()
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if self.sim_task_model == "gbdt":
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@@ -122,24 +159,27 @@ class DDGDA:
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with self._internal_data_path.open("wb") as f:
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pickle.dump(internal_data, f)
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def train_meta_model(self):
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def train_meta_model(self, fill_method="max"):
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"""
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training a meta model based on a simplified linear proxy model;
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"""
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# 1) leverage the simplified proxy forecasting model to train meta model.
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# - Only the dataset part is important, in current version of meta model will integrate the
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.sim_task_model, **self.rb_kwargs)
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sim_task = rb.basic_task()
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train_start = self.rb_kwargs.get("train_start", "2008-01-01")
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train_end = "2010-12-31" if self.meta_1st_train_end is None else self.meta_1st_train_end
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test_start = (pd.Timestamp(train_end) + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
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proxy_forecast_model_task = {
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# "model": "qlib.contrib.model.linear.LinearModel",
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"dataset": {
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"class": "qlib.data.dataset.DatasetH",
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"kwargs": {
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"handler": f"file://{(DIRNAME / 'handler_proxy.pkl').absolute()}",
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"handler": f"file://{(DIRNAME / self.proxy_hd).absolute()}",
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"segments": {
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"train": ("2008-01-01", "2010-12-31"),
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"test": ("2011-01-01", sim_task["dataset"]["kwargs"]["segments"]["test"][1]),
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"train": (train_start, train_end),
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"test": (test_start, sim_task["dataset"]["kwargs"]["segments"]["test"][1]),
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},
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},
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},
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@@ -156,7 +196,7 @@ class DDGDA:
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segments=0.62, # keep test period consistent with the dataset yaml
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trunc_days=1 + self.horizon,
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hist_step_n=30,
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fill_method="max",
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fill_method=fill_method,
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rolling_ext_days=0,
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)
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# NOTE:
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@@ -165,12 +205,15 @@ class DDGDA:
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# So the misalignment will not affect the effectiveness of the method.
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with self._internal_data_path.open("rb") as f:
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internal_data = pickle.load(f)
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md = MetaDatasetDS(exp_name=internal_data, **kwargs)
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# 3) train and logging meta model
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with R.start(experiment_name=self.meta_exp_name):
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R.log_params(**kwargs)
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mm = MetaModelDS(step=self.step, hist_step_n=kwargs["hist_step_n"], lr=0.001, max_epoch=100, seed=43)
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mm = MetaModelDS(
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step=self.step, hist_step_n=kwargs["hist_step_n"], lr=0.001, max_epoch=100, seed=43, alpha=self.alpha
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)
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mm.fit(md)
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R.save_objects(model=mm)
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@@ -203,7 +246,7 @@ class DDGDA:
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hist_step_n = int(param["hist_step_n"])
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fill_method = param.get("fill_method", "max")
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.forecast_model)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(model_type=self.forecast_model, **self.rb_kwargs)
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task_l = rb.create_rolling_tasks()
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# 2.2) create meta dataset for final dataset
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@@ -233,13 +276,13 @@ class DDGDA:
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"""
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with self._task_path.open("rb") as f:
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tasks = pickle.load(f)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(rolling_exp="rolling_ds", model_type=self.forecast_model)
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rb = RollingBenchmark(rolling_exp="rolling_ds", model_type=self.forecast_model, **self.rb_kwargs)
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rb.train_rolling_tasks(tasks)
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rb.ens_rolling()
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rb.update_rolling_rec()
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def run_all(self):
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# 1) file: handler_proxy.pkl
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# 1) file: handler_proxy.pkl (self.proxy_hd)
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self.dump_data_for_proxy_model()
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# 2)
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# file: internal_data_s20.pkl
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