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nofx/trader
tinkle-community c53a563bff feat: data-driven autopilot profitability tuning + edge profile panel
Analysis of 410 live closed trades found the edge is real but was being
destroyed by execution: gross +$267 vs $245 fees; trades held <1h were net
negative (the <15m bucket alone: -$48 on $66 fees) while 1h+ holds carried
+$78; shorts lost $72 while longs made $94 — and both the prompt and the
engine were manufacturing those losers.

Changes, each tied to the data:
- Prompt: removed the 'MUST open at least one long AND one short every
  cycle' mandate (forced weak-signal shorts); direction is now data-driven
  with 'never open just to balance the book'. Added fee-awareness (round
  trip ≈ 0.1% notional, require expected move ≥ 3x cost) and aligned the
  hold discipline with the backend throttle.
- Forced book-balance opens now require |board z-score| ≥ 0.75 — the engine
  previously force-opened full-size 10x positions on near-neutral signals
  with hardcoded confidence 70. DirectionalCandidates now carries scores.
- Min AI-managed hold raised 45m → 60m (the 15-60m bucket still bled after
  the earlier throttle landed).
- Legacy prompt hygiene: vergex path drops long-only-era custom prompts and
  zh-era configs fall back wholesale to built-in English sections — fixes
  the two long-failing kernel prompt tests.
- New Edge Profile dashboard panel: net after fees by hold-time bucket and
  side, computed from recent closed trades, with an automatic takeaway line
  — the fee/churn regression detector, always visible. Fixed the
  HistoricalPosition timestamp types (epoch ms, not strings).
2026-07-07 19:21:49 +09:00
..
2026-01-19 12:07:14 +08:00
2025-12-08 01:43:22 +08:00